By Graham Allison
China and the U.S. are heading towards a struggle neither wants.
The cause is Thucydides’s capture, a perilous trend of structural tension that effects while a emerging energy demanding situations a ruling one. This phenomenon is as previous as background itself. concerning the Peloponnesian conflict that devastated historic Greece, the historian Thucydides defined: ‘It used to be the increase of Athens and the phobia that this instilled in Sparta that made warfare inevitable.’ during the last 500 years, those stipulations have happened 16 instances. warfare broke out in twelve of them.
Today, as an unstoppable China techniques an immovable the United States, and either Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their nations ‘great again’, the 17th case seems grim. except China is prepared to cut back its objectives or Washington can settle for turning into quantity within the Pacific, a exchange clash, cyberattack, or coincidence at sea may well quickly amplify into all-out war.
In Destined for War, the eminent Harvard student Graham Allison explains why Thucydides’s seize is the simplest lens for figuring out U.S.-China relatives within the twenty-first century. via uncanny old parallels and warfare eventualities, he exhibits how shut we're to the unthinkable. but, stressing that warfare isn't inevitable, Allison additionally unearths how clashing powers have saved the peace some time past — and what painful steps the U.S. and China needs to take to prevent catastrophe today.
Read or Download Destined for War: can America and China escape Thucydides’s Trap? PDF
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